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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

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Marist Poll: Statistical Tie

Bush Leads Kerry 47-45 percent of nation-wide RV’s, with 3 percent for Nader and 5 percent undecided in a Marist Poll conducted 9/20-22. (margin of error +/- 3.5 percent)


AP-Ipsos Poll: Kerry Lags by 9

Bush leads Kerry 51-42 among nation-wide RV’s, with 2 percent for Nader, according to an Associated Press-Ipsos Poll conducted 9/20-22.


Race Still Tight in Swing States

Kerry leads Michigan LV’s by 4% in FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll (Sept. 21-22)
Kerry lags by 2% Nevada RV’s in CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll (Sept. 18-21)
Bush leads by 3% Ohio LV’s in FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll (Sept. 21-22)
Kerry up 5% among Pennsylvania LV’s in FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll (Sept. 21-22)
Bush ahead by 10% West Virginia RV’s in CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll (Sept. 17-20)
Bush up by 6% among Wisconsin RV’s in ABC News Poll (Sept. 16-19)


Kerry, Bush in Statistical Tie in Pair of Iowa Polls

Bush leads Kerry 48-45 percent among Iowa LV’s, with 1 percent Nader and 6 percent unsure, according to a FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll conducted Sept. 21-22.
Bush leads Kerry 47-46 of Iowa LV’s, with 6 percent unsure, according to a poll by Research 2000 for KCCI-TV conducted Sept. 19-21.


Kerry, Bush Run Close in Two Florida Polls

Bush leads Kerry 48-47 percent of Florida RV’s, with neither/unsure 6 percent, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll conducted Sept. 18-22.
Bush leads Kerry 48-43 percent of Florida RV’s, with 2 percent someone else, 1 percent wouldn’t vote and 6 percent unsure, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll conducted Sept. 18-21.


SurveyUSA Polls Show Close WH Race in Key Swing States

A series of polls of LV’s conducted September 19-22 by SurveyUSA show:
Kerry ahead by 10% in Michigan and 5% Washington State
Bush ahead by: 1% Maine; 4% Iowa; 13% Tennessee and 1% Oregon.


Dead Heat in New Democracy Corps Poll

John Kerry and George Bush are tied at 49 percent of nation-wide LV’s, with 1 percent other in a poll conducted Sept. 19-21 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for Democracy Corps.


Kerry Holds Narrow Lead in Economist Poll

John Kerry leads George Bush 46-45 percent of nation-wide RV’s, with 1 percent for Nader in an Economist/YouGov Poll conducted Sept. 20-22.


New WSJ/NBC News Poll Shows Tight Race

Bush leads Kerry 48-45 percent among nation-wide RV’s, with 2 percent for Nader, 1 percent for none/other and 4 percent unsure, according to a Wall St. Journal/NBC News poll conducted Sept. 17-19.


Kerry Up by 8 in Washington State Poll

John Kerry leads George Bush 49-41 among Washington State RV’s, with 2 percent for Nader and 8 percent unsure, according to a poll conducted Sept. 17-20 by Ipsos-Public Affairs for The Columbian.