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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

Teixeira: Nationscape Trial Heat Results in Every Swing State!

The following article by Ruy Teixeira, author of The Optimistic Leftist and other works of political analysis, is cross-posted from his blog:

Here are the results from the last 12 waves of the Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape survey (6,000 respondents a week) for every state that has been considerably even vaguely swingish in this election cycle. I order the trial heat results from largest Biden margin to least.

NM +25 Biden
NH +19
NV +17
VA +15
ME +14
CO +13
MN +12
WI +10
MI +8
AZ +8
PA +7
FL +7
GA +4
NC +3
TX +3
OH -1`
SC -1
IA -3

Interesting, eh?

2 comments on “Teixeira: Nationscape Trial Heat Results in Every Swing State!

  1. Bill Arthur on

    Given the historic level of voter suppression and ongoing interference by Russia and others combined with Covid I am nervous about anything not in double figures. Encouraged by the overall numbers but all of need to double down on GOTV.


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