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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

Political Strategy Notes

McAuliffe’s victory is all the more impressive in light of the repressive electoral system detailed in Qasim Rashid’s PolicyMic post, “Virginia’s Racist Voter ID Law is a Chilling Step Towards Jim Crow America.”
Politico’s Alexander Burns explains “How Terry McAuliffe mapped his Virginia win” According to Burns, “In February, McAuliffe took a large-sample poll of 10,000 Virginia voters. That huge tranche of data allowed the campaign to create a detailed model of the off-year electorate. While media attention has largely focused on whether McAuliffe would be able to turn out apathetic Democrats who participated in the 2012 presidential race, his campaign also had another objective in mind: identifying all the occasional voters who participated in the 2009 Virginia elections and ensuring that they showed up at the polls in a second off-cycle year.”
Not surprisingly, the Crystal Ball’s Larry J. Sabato Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley have a superb wrap-up about what happened in Virginia in their article “The Surprisingly Dramatic Terry & Ken Show.”
At USA Today Cara Richardson has an update on current Senate races.
Time Swampland’s Maya Rhodan takes an interesting angle in her post-mortem “Election 2013’s Biggest Winner? Labor Unions.” Rhodan explains, “Working America was one of the many unions and super PACs on the ground in Boston canvassing for mayor-elect Walsh, and the group worked in states across the country to push prolabor candidates and ballot measures. Nine of the eleven candidates they were pushing for are heading into office, and their positions on minimum wage prevailed…”We have a major challenge coming in 2014, and we have important battles to fight at the state and national levels,” says Mike Podhorzer, the political director of the AFL-CIO. “We are hoping this is a harbinger of how the electorate is feeling and gives us momentum.”
More good news for unions — and Dems — at NPR Jay Hancock’s “Administration Looks To Give Labor Unions Health Tax Relief”
Lewis Krauskopf reports at Reuters that “Interest in Obamacare rises despite website problems: Reuters/Ipsos poll.” Krauskopf reports “The uninsured view the 2010 Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, commonly known as Obamacare, more favorably since online marketplaces opened – 44 percent compared with 37 percent in September, according to the Reuters/Ipsos poll…A higher proportion of the uninsured also said they are interested in buying insurance on the exchanges, with 42 percent in October, saying they were likely to enroll compared with 37 percent in September. The results have a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.”
Late-breaking — Great news for Georgia Democrats: “Democratic state Sen. Jason Carter will challenge Gov. Nathan Deal next year in a move that catapults the gubernatorial contest into the national spotlight and tests whether Georgia’s changing demographics can loosen the Republican Party’s 12-year grip on the state’s highest office,” reports Greg Bluestein at the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. The entry of President Carter’s well-liked grandson gives Georgia two exciting young Democrats running statewide in 2014 — and the likely involvement of two of Georgia’s most popular leaders, Sam Nunn and Jimmy Carter.
Talk about a mismatch. Try to imagine a duel of wits between Rachel Maddow and Sen. Rand Paul. Maddow could be arrested for child abuse.

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