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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

Brownstein: Revealing Data Points from the Presidential Election

At The Bulwark Tim Miller has a revealing interview with top political journalist Ronald Brownstein, who pegs the most compelling data points from the presidential election. A paywall kicks in at the end for the “full episode.” But some of Brownstein’s nuggets from the first part of the interview include:

“Trump won a substantial number of votes from people who still expressed  significant doubts abut him and his agenda. Between 1/5 and 1/6 of his voters would agree with sentiments like he was too extreme.”

“Roughly 60 percent of Americans disapproved of Biden’s job performance and 80 percent of those  disapprovers voted for Trump.”

“He won a higher share of women who identified as pro-choice in 2024 after Dobbs, than he did in 2020 before Dobbs….More than a quarter of Latinos wo said they opposed mass deportations voted for him.”

“Among white women without a college degree – they are just crucial to how these [swing] states turn out – who supported legal abortion, broke 2 to 1 for Trump.”

“All of these data points tell me that the dissatisfaction, primarily over inflation, and to some extent the border simply outweighed at this moment voters’ hesitations and concerns about Trump.”

“A considerable majority of the country was dissatisfied with the results they got from the Biden presidency, and, in the normal hydraulics of American polling, voted for the party that was not in the White House.”

The first portion of Miller’s interview of Brownstein did not address cultural issues. But it can be safely concluded that being perceived as fully embracing cultural ‘wokeness’ did not help Harris, although she did well in light of the economic opinions cited by Brownstein.

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