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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

Political Strategy Notes

The Nation’s editor Katrina vanden Heuval argues that “The Welcome Rebellion in the Democratic Party: The rambunctious political discussions currently roiling the Democratic party will only make it stronger come November.”
Allie Yee of The Institute for Southern Studies reports that “Young Latino voters rising in the South.” Yee notes, “Between 2014 and 2016, 500,000 Latino youth in the South will have turned 18 and become eligible to vote, adding to the region’s 8.7 million voting-eligible Latinos in 2014.”
HuffPollsters Natalie Jackson, Ariel Edwards-Levy and Janie Velencia explain why, via David Rothschild of the oprediction markets, “Donald Trump has a 62 percent chance of being the Republican nominee for president of the United States of America, Hillary Clinton has a 92 percent chance to be the Democratic nominee for president of the United States of America, and the Democratic nominee for president has a 74 percent chance to win the general election. It may be surprising that Trump is still at 62 percent to win the nomination despite all of the doom-and-gloom in the press about him failing or not wanting it. But, Trump has 742 pledged delegates to Ted Cruz’s 529 and he is about to go on a roll….He is heavily favored in New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island.”
In case you were wondering Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley explain “House 2016: How a Democratic Wave Could Happen” at the Crystal Ball.
Also at The Crystal Ball, Alan I. Abramowitz argues that “Higher Voter Turnout Alone Is Unlikely to Change the Outcome of the 2016 Presidential Election.”
From Conor Lynch’s Salon.com post, “The Democrats need to stop being the “lesser of two evils” party — starting now“: “According to a report from Pew Research Center, the least financially secure Americans largely preferred Democrats in 2014, but a majority of them did not vote. There is an understandable political apathy among lower class Americans — not to mention voter suppression, which tends to hurt poor people and minorities. After all, both parties supported corporatist trade deals that eliminated working class jobs, both parties supported Wall Street bailouts, both parties are largely dependent on big money donors — it goes on and on.”
Marlow Stern’s post at Daily Best, “John Oliver Blasts GOP Over Lead Poisoning Our Children” includes Oliver’s excellent video rant rant on an infrastructure upgrade issue we can’t ignore much longer. And Vox has got the map to prove it.
To the delight of Democratic Party strategists, Republicans are doubling down on the transgender bathroom “issue,” notes the New York Times editorial board, and now the GOP crazy about bathrooms is spreading to beyond the southern states to KS and MN.
Not to pile on, but Chuck Todd shreds NC’s Republican Governor Pat McCrory for his warped defense of transgender bathroom hysteria, as Caitlin MacNeal notes at Talking Points Memo.

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