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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

Political Strategy Notes

Laura Vozella reports at The Washington Post that “Nearly a third of Virginia Republicans will vote for Hillary Clinton, pick a third-party candidate or sit out the election if Donald Trump is the GOP’s nominee for president,” according to a newly-released Christopher Newport University poll.
Republican state legislators and governors in several southern states have stepped in it big time, with the growing reaction to a rash of their gay-bashing legislation in GA, NC, MS, VA and TN. Following threats of an NFL and NCAA boycotts, Georgia’s Republican Govenor Nathan Deal vetoed a bill that would have allowed faith-based organizations to deny services to LGBT citizens and VA’s Democratic Governor Terry McAuliffe also vetoed a bill passed by the GOP legislative majority that permitted businesses and individuals to “cite their religious beliefs as a reason for refusing services to lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender people.” Springsteen has already cancelled a Greensboro, NC concert because of the “newly-enacted Public Facilities Privacy & Security Act, which prohibits transgender individuals from using the bathroom of their choosing.” UPDATE: Canadian singer Bryan Adams has cancelled his upcoming show in Biloxi, MS.
It’s one thing when a northeastern rocker boycotts your state. But TN Republicans ought to be a little worried when top country artist Emmylou Harris issues a statement saying “Those who love and make country music do so because at its best it speaks to the pain and suffering everyone shares in this life…Let’s not make that life harder still for some, with this mean spirited and unnecessary legislation” in response to a bill which “seeks to prohibit students in public institutions from using the bathroom that does not conform to their gender at birth” and another, which would let counselors refuse mental health services to clients based on their religious beliefs. Country music stars Chely Wright and Ty Herndon have also released statements condemning the legislation, as has TN-born Miley Cyrus.
“A new study out of the University of California at San Diego…found that the turnout gap between Republicans and Democrats in states with voter ID suppression laws jumped from 2.3 to 5.6 percentage points after those voter ID laws went into effect.” — from Truthdig’s “The GOP Is Now Bragging About Voter Suppression.”
WaPo’s Amber Phillips explains why “The Senate map is looking better and better for Democrats,” and provides an insightful look at key contests in 10 states.
At HuffPo Robert Reich writes, “The recent kerfluffle about Bernie Sanders purportedly not knowing how to bust up the big banks says far more about the threat Sanders poses to the Democratic establishment and its Wall Street wing than it does about the candidate himself…The biggest are far larger today than they were in 2008 when they were deemed “too big to fail.” Then, the five largest held around 30 percent of all U.S. banking assets. Today they have 44 percent.”
In These Times posts an interesting interview with Ian Haney Lopez, author of Dog Whistle Politics: How Coded Racial Appeals Have Reinvented Racism and Wrecked the Middle Class and Matt Morrison, Matt Morrison, deputy director of the AFL-CIO’s 3.2-million member community affiliate, Working America on the topic, “Understanding What Makes Donald Trump Voters Tick: Is It Just Racism? In Trump’s appeal, the Left seeks clues on winning back the white working-class.”
Wilson Andrews, Kitty Bennett and Alicia Parlapiano provide some nifty graphics that illustrate the “2016 Delegate Count and Primary Results” at The New York Times.
But, if the delegate hunt strikes you as unseemly, and you think presidential elections ought not be decided by about seven states, check out the National Popular Vote initiative, which is moving forward, regardless of what happens this year.

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