Sean Trende has a wonky post up at RCP, “How Likely Are Democrats to Lose the Senate?” concluding: “…This is a very, very challenging map for Democrats. As things presently stand, the map probably makes them underdogs to hold the Senate. Barring some sort of change in the national environment or meltdown in the Republican nominations process — neither of which is impossible — Democrats are likely in for a very long night on Nov. 4.”
Alan I Abramowitz argues at the Crystal Ball that “The results of a simple but extremely accurate midterm election forecasting model indicate that the 2014 U.S. House elections are likely to result in minimal change in the party balance of power…Right now, the most likely outcome of the House elections would appear to be a near standoff.”
At Post Politics Aaron Blake flags a much-trumpeted YouGov poll alleging that “71 percent of people who supported President Obama in 2012 now said that they regret their vote.” Blake points out that the sample asked was 36 people, or “closer to 6 percent” of the larger poll respondents, and therefore…quite lame.
At The Fix Chris Cillizza makes the case that the Dems need new blood at the top of the ticket in 2016, and Hillary doesn’t have it. But he doesn’t adequately address Clinton’s potential for mobilizing women voters on an unprecedented scale, nor the positive feelings millions of Americans have about the Clinton era’s economic prosperity.
At the Wall St. journal (where else?), Karl Rove explains how he intends to counter Democrats ‘ObamaCare Strategy.”
Wolf Blitzer called out Ted Nugent for calling President Obama a “subhuman mongrel”: — “That’s what the Nazis called Jews to justify the genocide of the Jewish community,” Blitzer said in a Feb. 18, 2014, interview. “They called them untermenschen, subhuman mongrels. If you read some of the literature that the Nazis put out there, there is a long history of that specific phrase he used involving the president of the United States.” Nugent cancelled his appearance, and then Blitzer made Newt Gingrich own his defense of Nugent: “Hold on a second, Newt. In this particular case, the man who wants to be the next governor of Texas is willing to go out there and embrace someone who refers to our president as a subhuman mongrel.”
Do read Ashley Alman’s HuffPo post, “Turns Out Anti-Union Volkswagen Workers May Have Screwed Themselves And The South,” which notes: “”I can imagine fairly well that another VW factory in the United States, provided that one more should still be set up there, does not necessarily have to be assigned to the South again,” said works council leader Bernd Osterloh…”If co-determination isn’t guaranteed in the first place, we as workers will hardly be able to vote in favor” of building another plant in the right-to-work South, Osterloh added.”
The slogan that should have been plastered all over Chattanooga:
DIVIDED WE BEG
Meddle on, Dems.