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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

Obama and Appalachia: Better News

Over at fivethirtyeight.com, Nate Silver points to very favorable trends towards Barack Obama in state- and regional-level general election polling of those Appalachian areas where he did so poorly in the primaries. The most persuasive evidence is in Quinnipiac’s Swing State polling, which shows Obama registering double-digit gains between May and June in SW Ohio, and in SW and central PA. This probably helps explain why Obama has suddenly open up significant leads over McCain in recent polling of both OH and PA.

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