About a month ago I wrote about the phenomenon of African-American voters (specifically in SC) who don’t support Barack Obama because they are convinced white folks won’t vote for him, making him unelectable. I theorized that a strong Obama showing in the very pale states of IA and NH might take care of at least part of that problem.
Well, even a rise in the polls among white folks for Obama may be having an effect. As Kate Sheppard points out at TAPPED, the trend lines in the last two Rasmussen polls of SC Democrats show Obama narrowing a long-standing deficit to Clinton in that state, mainly because he now leads her among African-Americans by a 51-27 margin, after trailing her in that voter category 46-45 last month.
John Edwards, BTW, continues to be an afterthought among Democratic voters in his native state, pulling 13% in the latest Rasmussen poll as compared to 36% for Clinton and 34% for Obama.
2 comments on “Mr. and Ms. “Maybe He Can Win””
edkilgore on
skeeters:
Sorry for the delayed response, but thanks for the info that Obama’s African- American “electibility problem” isn’t a new thing.
Having watched (a long time ago)white southerners deplore Jimmy Carter as a liberal sell-out, before uniting behind him across every conceivable ideological line, I do think identity matters a lot more in the heat of a close electoral contest. (Another example is JFK’s crazy-high support among Catholics in the 1960 general election.). And if Obama looks like he could truly become the first African-American president, I’d be stunned if he doesn’t overwhelm HRC among black voters.
Thanks for the comment.
Ed Kilgore
I think Obama has learned, there are those in the black community he will never reach. I will never get it. In my community, I collected signatures for his Senate run. And all different races were excited.
I heard this call on the radio Saturday. Nate Clay, the only Liberal on a Chicago station.
The woman called and ranted. Obama does not care about black people, he is the white candidate.
Nate nicely asked her. Then why did Obama pass health care for minorites. Why did he pass jobs and housing bills for minorites. He could have become a lawyer right away, but he instead became a community activist in a very crime ridden community.
Oh yeah. In Illinois we have had a problem with torture and putting innocent, minorities on death row. Half have been found innocent. What Obama did was pass a bill requireing interrogations were videotaped.
And after this list the woman just kept screaming, he only cares about whites.
Thank you for the post, I went a little off direction, but you did give me a ray of sunshine.
This year’s big media narrative has been the confirmation saga of Neera Tanden, Biden’s nominee for director of the Office of Management and Budget. At New York I wrote about how over-heated the talk surrounding Tanden has become.
Okay, folks, this is getting ridiculous. When a vote in the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee on the nomination of Neera Tanden was postponed earlier this week, you would have thought it presented an existential threat to the Biden presidency. “Scrutiny over Tanden’s selection has continued to build as the story over her uneven reception on Capitol Hill stretched through the week,” said one Washington Post story. Politico Playbook suggested that if Tanden didn’t recover, the brouhaha “has the potential to be what Biden might call a BFD.” There’sbeen all sorts of unintentionally funny speculation about whether the White House is playing some sort of “three-dimensional chess” in its handling of the confirmation, disguising a nefarious plan B or C.
Perhaps it reflects the law of supply and demand, which requires the inflation of any bit of trouble for Biden into a crisis. After all, his Cabinet nominees have been approved by the Senate with a minimum of 56 votes; the second-lowest level of support was 64 votes. One nominee who was the subject of all sorts of initial shrieking, Tom Vilsack, was confirmed with 92 Senate votes. Meanwhile, Congress is on track to approve the largest package of legislation moved by any president since at least the Reagan budget of 1981, with a lot of the work on it being conducted quietly in both chambers. Maybe if the bill hits some sort of roadblock, or if Republican fury at HHS nominee Xavier Becerra (whose confirmation has predictably become the big fundraising and mobilization vehicle for the GOP’s very loud anti-abortion constituency) reaches a certain decibel level, Tanden can get out of the spotlight for a bit.
But what’s really unfair — and beyond that, surreal — is the extent to which this confirmation is being treated as more important than all the others combined, or indeed, as a make-or-break moment for a presidency that has barely begun. It’s not. If Tanden cannot get confirmed, the Biden administration won’t miss a beat, and I am reasonably sure she will still have a distinguished future in public affairs (though perhaps one without much of a social-media presence). And if she is confirmed, we’ll all forget about the brouhaha and begin focusing on how she does the job, which she is, by all accounts, qualified to perform.
skeeters:
Sorry for the delayed response, but thanks for the info that Obama’s African- American “electibility problem” isn’t a new thing.
Having watched (a long time ago)white southerners deplore Jimmy Carter as a liberal sell-out, before uniting behind him across every conceivable ideological line, I do think identity matters a lot more in the heat of a close electoral contest. (Another example is JFK’s crazy-high support among Catholics in the 1960 general election.). And if Obama looks like he could truly become the first African-American president, I’d be stunned if he doesn’t overwhelm HRC among black voters.
Thanks for the comment.
Ed Kilgore
I think Obama has learned, there are those in the black community he will never reach. I will never get it. In my community, I collected signatures for his Senate run. And all different races were excited.
I heard this call on the radio Saturday. Nate Clay, the only Liberal on a Chicago station.
The woman called and ranted. Obama does not care about black people, he is the white candidate.
Nate nicely asked her. Then why did Obama pass health care for minorites. Why did he pass jobs and housing bills for minorites. He could have become a lawyer right away, but he instead became a community activist in a very crime ridden community.
Oh yeah. In Illinois we have had a problem with torture and putting innocent, minorities on death row. Half have been found innocent. What Obama did was pass a bill requireing interrogations were videotaped.
And after this list the woman just kept screaming, he only cares about whites.
Thank you for the post, I went a little off direction, but you did give me a ray of sunshine.