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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

What Really Sank Harris

From “The Left Didn’t Sink Kamala Harris. Here’s What Did” by Waleed Shahid at The Nation:

In the aftermath of Kamala Harris’s loss, many pundits and politicians are turning to a familiar scapegoat. Critics like Adam Jentleson, a former aide to senators Harry Reid and John Fetterman, claim that “woke” advocacy groups made Democrats adopt extreme policies and drove voters away from the Democratic Party, sealing Donald Trump’s victory. But the truth is simpler—and more uncomfortable for the Democratic establishment. Despite the noise, voters didn’t reject Harris because of leftist rhetoric or activist slogans. They rejected her because she and her party failed to address the economic pain of working-class voters, who chose change over more of the same.

No one is saying that all the “woke” talk was popular. When there is a fairly close presidential election in which the popular vote margin in swing states is hovering around three percent, any factor could make the difference. It’s just that rapidly declining purchasing power for  consumers is the most powerful Democrat-defeater. Shahid argues further,

Contrary to establishment narratives, the Democratic leadership has often resisted advocacy organizations pushing for bold reforms on immigration, Big Tech, climate, debt, healthcare, rent, mass incarceration, Palestinian rights, and for policies like the Build Back Better agenda. This tension isn’t just about differing priorities—it reveals the actual balance of forces in the party. Corporate donors on Wall Street and Silicon Valley pour billions into campaigns, shaping agendas to suit their interests. A consultant class reaps millions from flawed strategies and failed candidates yet continues to fail upward, perpetuating a pattern of mediocrity. They, not progressives, are the roadblock preventing Democrats from becoming a populist force that could disrupt the status quo and win back voters of all stripes.

It was these elements within the party that kneecapped the Democrats’ most ambitious efforts to help ordinary Americans. The Biden administration entered with huge plans, notably Build Back Better, which would have delivered immediate relief: expanded child tax credits, free community college, universal child care and pre-K, paid leave, and more. Progressives pushed mightily for Build Back Better to pass. It was centrist obstruction—namely Senators Manchin and Sinema—that blocked those policies. The result was a patchwork of long-term measures like the Inflation Reduction Act and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Deal, whose benefits won’t be felt until 2025 at the earliest, if at all. By failing to pass Build Back Better, Democrats lost the chance to deliver easy-to-understand, tangible economic benefits and solidify their image as the party of working people.

And it was corporate Democrats—particularly lobbyists like Harris’s brother-in-law, former Uber executive Tony West, and David Plouffe—who held the most sway over Harris’s campaign. They advised her to cozy up to ultra-wealthy celebrities, Liz and Dick Cheney, and Mark Cuban, and avoid populist rhetoric that could have distanced her from the corporate elites who dominate the party. In 2024, the biggest spenders in Democratic Party politics weren’t progressives—it was AIPAC, cryptocurrency PACs, and corporate giants like Uber, all of whom poured millions into Democratic campaigns without regard for public opinion or the will of the people.

Shahid says that “the focus was on issues like democracy and abortion, which, while important, couldn’t by themselves capture the priorities of working-class voters.” Shahid adds that “The backlash against “wokeness” often rests on vague critiques, offering little more than cultural hand-wringing without any clear solutions.” In a close election, excessive ‘wokeness,’ punctuated with ads portraying the Democratic candidate in photo-ops as a clueless wokester, can defeat a campaign. But economic insecurity is a far more compelling and pervasive threat to middle class voters.

As Stanley Greenberg recently put it, “Despite Trump’s effective campaign on his agenda, the cost of living was still the top worry by far—fully 18 points above immigration and the border….I could not get people to understand the significance of our base voters putting the cost of living 20 points higher than the next problem.”

Put in poker terms, Harris was dealt a pair of eights, and she played her hand fairly well. But Trump had a couple of nines.

2 comments on “What Really Sank Harris

  1. Victor on

    The role of toxic positivity in Democratic politics deserves a lot more attention.

    This dynamic comes, ironically, from the divorce of activism from the lived experience of ordinary voters.

    Even LGBT members are only allowed if they suscribe to every single aspect of the most radical interpretation of queer ideology (calling Hispanics Latinx, calling straights cisgender, mandatory pronouns everywhere and all the time, anti-TERF, trans story hour, no discussion at all of sports or prisons exceptions, no discussion of special rules for children on issues like transition care, etc).

    Reply
  2. Victor on

    The Democratic party can have diversity of viewpoints, but if the national brand is going to be clarified some litmus tests are necessary.

    A simple one could be that people calling for “a Permanent Democratic Majority” not enhance the reach of voices calling for a boycott of the Democratic party.

    There are so many articles that could be published rather than Waleed Shahid’s.

    Also, on this article you are burying the lede. Shahid states:

    “The administration’s failure to offer a compelling narrative or deliver meaningful economic reforms alienated many young voters, especially on issues like unconditional weapons transfers to Israel.”

    Where is the evidence for the implied assertion that Israel was a demobilizing issue for a significant proportion of youth voters? Poll after poll showed the issue had no salience.

    Shahid was a very prominent leader of the Uncommitted Movement.

    https://jacobin.com/2024/08/uncommitted-movement-dnc-gaza-palestine

    If you take a look at his organization and its Board of Directors you can see the problem with “the Groups”:

    1. Little working class background;

    2. Almost all members are non-profit activist professionals or culture workers;

    3. 6-3 female to male, fake feminism that ignores working class women;

    4. No white males at all!!;

    5. Overrepresentation of Middle Eastern origin;

    6. Overrepresentation of anti-Zionist Jews (who are a minority among Jews);

    7. Organizing on the basis of (non-Christian) religion -Islam- (which is completely hypocritical because Democrats oppose the same when done by Republicans)

    8. Support for humanitarianism and pacifism, but only against Israel (while ignoring Russia/China);

    9. Overrepresentation of wealthy Asians;

    10. Overrepresentation of Information Technology and Finance backgrounds;

    11. Blacks are only allowed if they believe in defund police or Black separatism.

    12. Hispanics are only allowed if they believe in open borders (and completely underrepresented -like in almost all left wing groups, even though there are a lot more Hispanics than Asians and even Blacks-).

    Per 2020 Census, Hispanics are 18.73% of the population, Black 12.05%, Mixed 4.09%, Asian 5.92%, while White 57.84%.

    https://www.the-bloc.us/about

    Take a look at other Board of Directors and Staff and you will find much the same.

    This is what activism towards the Democratic party looks like from basically all interest groups.

    These groups are entirely representative even notionally, and when it comes to material interests they only represent themselves, their careers and their own niche ideologies.

    Reply

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