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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

New Poll Shows New Jersey Is Not in Play

By Alan Abramowitz
This poll of New Jersey likely voters is by the Eagleton Institute of Politics, a long-established, very reputable polling organization. Kerry leads by 13 among likely voters. Kerry’s firm support is 48 percent; Bush’s firm support is 36. Kerry is likely to carry NJ by about the same margin as Gore did four years ago. This state is not in play.