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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

Teixeira: The Most Important Trend in American Politics – The Disappearing Trump Bump

The following article by Ruy Teixeira, author of The Optimistic Leftist and other works of political analysis, is cross-posted from his blog:

Presidential approval isn’t everything. But probably more than any single metric you could look at, it shapes electoral outcomes. Therefore, when Trump’s approval rating went up modestly as the COVID-19 pandemic hit, people noticed–though it was modest and seemed to have relatively little effect on trial heat measures. But now, even that bump seems to be disappearing fast See the charts below, national from 538 and two swing states, Wisconsin and Florida, from Civiqs data.

One comment on “Teixeira: The Most Important Trend in American Politics – The Disappearing Trump Bump

  1. Victor on

    Biden will probably be elected in a sort of landslide. Just like Obama was. How can we keep power beyond 2020 once Trump is gone as the unifying force of the party?

    Reply

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