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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

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Final Marist Poll: Edge to Kerry

John Kerry and George Bush are tied at 48 percent of nation-wide RV’s in the final Marist Poll, conducted 11/1. The Poll also found that Kerry leads Bush 50-49 percent of LV’s, and Bush’s approval rating was 49 percent.


SurveyUSA Polls: Kerry, Bush Neck and Neck in Swing States

SurveyUSA Polls of LV’s conducted 10/29-11/1 show John Kerry and George Bush locked in tight races in the following states:
PA – Kerry leads 49-48 percent
FL – Bush leads 49-48 percent
OH – Bush leads 49-47 percent
AR – tied at 48 percent
MO – Bush leads 52-47 percent


If You Can’t Trust Fox News, Who Can You Trust?

John Kerry leads George Bush 47-45 percent among nationwide RVs and and 48-46 among LVs in a 3-way contest, according to a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll conducted 10/30-31. The Poll also found that Kerry leads among Independents 46-40 percent and Bush’s approval rating was 47 percent.
Kerry also leads by 3 among RVs and by 2 among LVs in a 2-way contest.


Kerry Running Close in Two New Polls, Leads Among Independents

Bush leads Kerry 49-46 percent of nation-wide LV’s, with 1 for Ralph Nader, according to a CBS News/New York Times Poll conducted 10/28-30. The poll also found that Kerry lead among Independents 50-43.
Bush leads Kerry 48-47 percent of nation-wide LV’s, with 1 percent for Nader, according to an NBC News/Wall St. Journal Poll conducted 10/29-31.
Note: RV data were not available for either of these two polls.


Latest Democracy Corps Survey Shows Kerry Up By Two Nationwide and Leading 52-45 in Battleground States.

The latest Democracy Corps survey, conducted Oct 23-25 Shows John Kerry leading George Bush 49-47 in their national sample and 52-45 in the battleground states. The poll also found that Kerry is ahead by 22 pts among new voters and includes substantial additional information on the latest trends among population subgroups and target voters.