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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

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Kerry Up 1% in New Mexico

John Kerry leads George Bush 48-47 percent of New Mexico LV’s in a 2-way American Research Group Poll conducted 10/16-18.


Kerry Has Edge in Pair of NH Polls

Kerry and Bush are tied at 47 percent of NH LV’s, according to American Research Group Poll, conducted 10/16-18.
Kerry Leads Bush 47-41 percent of NH LV’s, according to a Suffolk University/News 7 Poll conducted 10/14-17.


Kerry Holds Lead in Two Oregon Polls

John Kerry Leads George Bush 52-45 percent of Oregon RV’s in a CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll conducted 10/15-18.
Kerry leads Bush 50-44 percent of of Oregon LV’s in a Tribune/KOIN Poll conducted by Research 2000 10/11-14.


Kerry Leads By 5% , Tied in Pair of WI Polls

John Kerry leads George Bush 48-43 percent of Wisconsin LV’s, with 2 percent for Nader, 5 percent unsure and 2 percent other, according to a Wisconsin Public Radio Poll, conducted by St. Norbert’s College Survey Center 10/4-13. Kerry’s largest margins over Bush included age 18-24 year-old voters 62-39 percent; Independents 48-31 percent; and women 52-41 percent.
Kerry and Bush are tied at 47 percent of Wisconsin LV’s in a head-to-head American Research Group Poll, conducted 10/16-19.


SurveyUSA Polls: Kerry has Edge in OH, NJ; Lags in MO, NV and VA

John Kerry leads George Bush among LV’s in OH +2 and NJ +8, but lags behind George Bush in MO -6, NV -7 and VA -4, according to a new series of polls by SurveyUSA, conducted 10/16-18.


Democracy Corps Poll: Kerry Leads by 3%

John Kerry leads George Bush 50-47 percent of nation-wide LV’s, according to a Democracy Corps Poll, conducted 10/17-18.


Kerry Ahead by 2% in Ohio

John Kerry leads George Bush 48-46 percent of Ohio LV’s, according to a poll by the Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinatti, conducted 10/11-17.


NYT/CBS News Poll: Kerry, Bush Locked in Dead Heat

John Kerry and George Bush are tied at 46 percent of nation-wide RV’s, according to a New York Times/CBS News Poll, conducted 10/14-17. Bush’s approval rating is 44 percent.


Kerry Leads, Gains in Key Swing States After 3rd Debate

John Kerry leads George Bush among LV’s in: in FL +1; PA +6; OR +9 and WA +7. He trails Bush in: AR -5 and NC -3 (stat. tie), according to SurveyUSA Polls conducted 10/15-17.


Kerry Leads by 4 in New FL Poll

John Kerry leads George Bush 48-44 percent of Florida RV’s, according to a new Florida Insider Poll conducted 10/12-14 — a 7 point gain over the previous Insider poll taken just before the 3rd presidential debate.