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The Democratic Strategist

Political Strategy for a Permanent Democratic Majority

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Harris Poll: Kerry Ahead by 7 in Swing States, Down 2 Nation-wide

George Bush leads John Kerry 48-46 percent of nation-wide LV’s in a Harris Poll conducted 10/14-17 (MoE +/-3%). In 17 “swing states” the poll found Kerry leading 51-44 percent.


PRC Poll: Kerry Up 6 in Battleground, Tied Nation-wide

John Kerry and George Bush are tied at 45 percent nation-wide RV’s, with 1 percent for Nader, according to a Pew Research Center Poll conducted 10/15-19. The Poll also found that Kerry leads in “battleground states” 49-43 percent and Bush’s approval rating is 44 percent.


Economist/YouGov Poll: Kerry Up by 2

John Kerry leads George Bush 48-46 percent of nation-wide RV’s, with 1 percent for Nader, according to a Economist/YouGov Poll conducted 10/18-20. The poll also found a 44 percent approval rating for Bush.


NBC News/Wall St. Journal Poll: Kerry Lags by 2%

Bush leads Kerry 48-46 percent of nation-wide RV’s, with 2 percent for Nader in NBC News/Wall St. Journal Poll conducted 10-16-18 by Hart McInturff. (MoE +/- 3.1%)


Kerry Leads by 6 in Maine

John Kerry leads George Bush 51-45 percent of Maine LV’s, according to a SurveyUSA Poll conducted 10/17-19.


Kerry Up 1% in New Mexico

John Kerry leads George Bush 48-47 percent of New Mexico LV’s in a 2-way American Research Group Poll conducted 10/16-18.


Kerry Has Edge in Pair of NH Polls

Kerry and Bush are tied at 47 percent of NH LV’s, according to American Research Group Poll, conducted 10/16-18.
Kerry Leads Bush 47-41 percent of NH LV’s, according to a Suffolk University/News 7 Poll conducted 10/14-17.


Kerry Holds Lead in Two Oregon Polls

John Kerry Leads George Bush 52-45 percent of Oregon RV’s in a CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll conducted 10/15-18.
Kerry leads Bush 50-44 percent of of Oregon LV’s in a Tribune/KOIN Poll conducted by Research 2000 10/11-14.


Kerry Leads By 5% , Tied in Pair of WI Polls

John Kerry leads George Bush 48-43 percent of Wisconsin LV’s, with 2 percent for Nader, 5 percent unsure and 2 percent other, according to a Wisconsin Public Radio Poll, conducted by St. Norbert’s College Survey Center 10/4-13. Kerry’s largest margins over Bush included age 18-24 year-old voters 62-39 percent; Independents 48-31 percent; and women 52-41 percent.
Kerry and Bush are tied at 47 percent of Wisconsin LV’s in a head-to-head American Research Group Poll, conducted 10/16-19.